Wall Street leapt higher last week after the Federal Reserve calmed
investors\' fears about a sinking economy, implying that risks to the
financial markets from the summer\'s credit crises have eased, says
BetOnMarkets.com\'s Michael Wright.
Stocks initially zigzagged after the Fed lowered interest rates on
Wednesday, because some investors balked at the notion that the Fed
might not lower rates again at its December meeting. However, investors
eventually appeared relieved after interpreting the Fed\'s comments to
mean that the central bank is now able to return to more \'regular\'
worries such as price inflation.
Wall Street was pleased by the fact that investors, businesses and
consumers alike will be getting cheaper access to cash, because of the
widely anticipated quarter-point rate cut. The Fed funds rate now
stands at 4.50 percent. Last month, the Fed surprised the market with a
larger-than-expected half-point cut in the funds rate.
After months of agonising over a weak credit market, investors appeared
to take some comfort from the fact that the Fed found room to offer a
less accommodative statement than some had expected. In comments
following its two-day meeting, central bank policymakers said recent
spikes in energy and commodity prices, are among the forces that could
be adding to inflationary pressures, and that with its latest move \"the
upside risks to inflation roughly balance the downside risks to
growth.\"
While a more accommodating statement would have left the door open
for yet another rate cut, traders worried about what would happen to
the US dollar if there was another cut. Some analysts have gone on
record to point out that the recent surge in the oil prices have been
partially attributed to the weaker US dollar.
The focus remains on the once mighty US dollar, which now trades
just shy of 2.08 against the British Pound, and near an all time high
of 1.45 for every Euro. The Bank of England\'s chief economist was
rather hawkish in his latest comments, dashing many people\'s hopes of a
rate cut here in the UK. This coupled with the US cuts, has pushed the
USD/ GBP exchange rate ever closer to 2.10.
The Fed\'s latest statement has been labelled as \"subtle as a sledge
hammer\" by some economists, for the bold way it indicated that this was
the last cut for a while. This coupled with indications from the Bank
of England that they won\'t move on rates this side of Christmas, could
present an opportunity.
We\'re still a long way off the dizzy heights of the 70s and 80s when
you could get around $2.64 to the pound at its peak, so there is
certainly room for higher levels. The Fed may be done cutting for now,
but this doesn\'t mean that the dollar will rebound. Given the hawkish
comments from the MPC it is possible that the Dollar could keep sliding
against the pound or at least may not strengthen considerably in the
short term.
With the above information, the average trader can use
BetOnMarkets.com to take full advantage of this situation. A no touch
trade compensates a trader for correctly predicting that the market
won\'t touch a certain point in the future, within a set period of time.
A no touch trade on the GBP/USD with a 20-day term, and a trigger set
at $0.06 cents lower than today\'s level, pays around 11%. This means
that the exchange rate could rise, stay where it is, or drop as much as
another $0.055 cents, and you could still win.
- THE END -
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